Starbuck Is Right

Starbuck Is Right

Ten days ago, I published a riposte to a young Army captain known by the nom de guerre of “Starbuck.” 

I felt that he had mildly mischaracterized not only my understanding of counterinsurgency, but had erred in assuming I failed to fully fathom the rudiments of the Army’s chief doctrinal statement on the subject, FM 3–24.

I was surprised that so many came to see as our volleys of bytes as something akin to a cage match — not only because I have a great deal of respect for Starbuck, but because we share many notions about war, the study of bloodshed and the place of America in the scrum of our globe’s many insurgencies.


In our private discussions, Starbuck and I discussed the manual and the military to which he’s still bound and within which I once toiled.  We were joined by a mutual friend, U.S. Army Maj. Mike Few, the editor of Small Wars Journal.

Because Mike, Crispin and I agree far more about COIN scholarship and practice than we disagree, we’ve decided to publish jointly a statement exploring not only what we hold to be true, but that which we hope to change.

The timing for this matters.  The Combined Arms Center is exploring the rewriting of FM 3–24.  We ask that CAC strongly consider our words, if for no other reason than that they might spark a wider discussion about the usefulness of key sections of the manual.

Some might wonder why a reporter would wade into this debate.  I have done so because measuring success or failure in these wars amongst the people should be a cardinal concern and competency for journalists.  We must learn how to describe to our readers, listeners and viewers the battles American men and women fight and I don’t believe that my profession has done a great job at that lately.

I hope that a doctrinal reappraisal by the U.S. military might better inform reporters about the wars we are asked to decipher.

Although I initially wished to reach out to others in the electronic medium, including Gulliver and Jason Fritz at Ink Spots, U.S. Army Col. Gian Gentile at CFR, Jacqueline L. Hazelton in Cambridge and Andrew Exum at Abu Muqawama, it quickly became apparent that if our trio couldn’t reach common ground on all points then bringing others into the discussion would whittle our manifesto to mere shavings.

Throughout the debate between us over this statement, my thoughts often turned to U.S. Army COIN guru Niel Smith, who pondered these same questions during his initial foray into rewriting the manual in 2008.

While I’m sure he won’t agree with all of our convictions listed below, I hope that Niel appreciates the homage we pay him here and we pray that he is safe tonight in Afghanistan.

 

Evolving the COIN Field Manual: A Case for Reform

 

1.   FM 3–24 must be rewritten.  It has been superseded by other manuals, including SFA (FM 3–07.1), Stability (FM 3–07) and Design (FM 5–0).  More weight should be given in the new work to lessons learned during the past 10 years of war.  These include — but are not limited to — analyzing how criminality and competition by fratricidal militias, feral criminal syndicates and host nation officials for resources shape the irregular battlefield; the complexity of communal conflicts; tips on reconciliation, amnesty and reintegration of guerrillas and bandits: the role theology and deterritorialized foreign fighters play in a revolt; more up to date notions on the training and equipping of foreign forces; and the nettlesome problem of insurgent safe havens.

2.  There is much that is worthwhile, important and lasting in FM 3–24.  While the strongest section is that on “intelligence,” other pieces within the manual remain relevant for the COIN practitioner such as those on logistics, ethics and air power.  Nevertheless, much of the work belongs to another age of revolution and over the past ten years best lessons learned in Iraq, Afghanistan and other conflicts must be reconsidered and adapted for doctrine.

3.   Everyone’s perceptions of “COIN” are bounded by personal experiences and institutional prejudices.  A frank and transparent discussion by professionals should not only guide the rewriting of FM 3–24 but compel a larger discussion about the strategic goals and likelihood of their success in the conflicts we wage overseas.  The process should be undertaken with humility and draw upon a wide range of perspectives inside and outside the military and U.S. government.  The drafting of a new manual should draw a wide net and include practitioners from Special Operations Command, the U.S. Department of State and the intelligence agencies.  Not only will these voices create better doctrinal advice, but they will own more of the process and goals of the doctrine that is confected.  Academia should help to provide an interdisciplinary approach, an open-tent of broad lenses, methodologies and frameworks.

4.   The new manual should incorporate the experiences of a generation of officers and non-commissioned officers who have spent the bulk of their careers fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan.  Best practices learned at the most junior levels of the military have not been absorbed well by the institution or have been mischaracterized for political or bureaucratic purposes.  While the field manual often hints at the bottom-up activism of guerrilla operations, there is little attention paid to adapting the U.S. military and civilian agencies in the same sort of flattened, highly effective and nimble ways in response — except in the Special Forces.  Consideration should be paid to identifying practitioners who by temperament excel tactically and operationally in the arts of irregular warfare, regardless of rank.

5.    The dichotomy between “counter-terrorism” and “counter-insurgency” is a false distinction designed to force political choices. Too many scholars now have their reputations and careers staked on the efficacy and durability or failure of FM 3–24 and how it relates to the competing narratives about its use on the battlefields of Iraq and Afghanistan.  While we embrace these debates because they are intellectually vital for a nation at war, ultimately we must move on and find new means of analyzing the irregular conflicts America is likely to face.  “COIN” is not the “graduate school of war” because all forms of modern war-making are complex and are guided by intellectual responses to complicated events and ideas.

6.  FM 3–24 fails to fully define the insurgencies and insurgents likely to bepopulate a complex war amongst the people. The very definition of “insurgency” used in the manual is outmoded and simplistic.  Rapid changes in the ways of waging and funding guerrilla warfare — often with deterritorialized support, virtual audiences and transcendentally global objectives — have transformed at the pace of 21st century technological and operational innovation.  Better analysis on how humiliation, revenge, dishonor, alienation, conspiracy theories, adventurism, injustice and other feelings and compulsions spur individuals and movements to insurgency should be provided alongside the best advice on how to mitigate these causative forces (which also are often the consequences of our intervention and operations).

7. Locked in time because of reputational and institutional taboos, FM 3–24 has not kept pace either describing post-Maoist conflicts or prescribing solutions to them. Partly this is because of the very form a field manual takes, but it’s also for a range of other reasons that could be partially mitigated by rewriting it.  Case studies might serve today’s readers better than the typical format of field manuals.  Building it by wiki or more informal methods of reaching junior personnel should be strongly considered.

8.  The center of gravity for a counter-insurgent might or might not fall upon the population confined to the borders of the state suffering rebellion. Even if a frontline population is the center of gravity in a campaign, care must be given during the confection of any manual to address the different natures and goals of host populations, diaspora populations from all sides in the dispute and the populations of those nations that have sought to intervene in the conflict.  Questions should be asked whether one today can script a pacification campaign that addresses realistically all or even most of these dispersed, multiple and multiplying populations. The same goes for guerrillas in what some now term the “Federated Insurgency Complex,” the complicated and shifting mix of enemies, bandits and militias on the irregular battlefield.

9. “COIN” can’t be described or prescribed by checklists or examples from history deemed timeless. While potentially helpful as a thought exercise, unempirical notions such as David Galula’s assurance that the political dimension of COIN is “80 percent political and 20 percent military” should be strongly reconsidered in light of learned lessons in today’s ongoing wars

10.   Questions also should be asked about our continued strategic focus on an indirect approach to achieving foreign policy goals. This requires a willing host nation regime that will “out govern” guerrillas or “terrorize” terrorists who might, or might not, be seeking to rule.  Sections such as 1–147 are simplistic and often contradicted by real world experiences and should be rewritten.

11.    In an attempt to posit timeless truths about insurgency and counter-insurgency, FM 3–24 removed the primacy and complexity of history. All “COIN” is local in the sense that insurrection is motivated by complex social forces or set to goals that often are animated by unique theological, economic, kinship or ideological concerns a foreign intervening army initially is unlikely to fathom, much less address through selective applications of force or suasion.  Care should be given to better advise professionals on the uses of economic development projects, support to host nation governments and other assumptions about achieving the broad support of people who are in revolt or leaning toward insurrection.  It is our concern that some prescriptive advice in FM 3–24 might prolong insurgencies or retard the ability of host nations to reach the “recovery” and “outpatient care” stages described in 5–5 and 5–6.

12. Violence is a natural condition of war. Practitioners of “COIN” should have no illusions about the need to kill guerrillas, destroy property, seize terrain and practice coercive practices to achieve necessary ends.  Euphemisms and anodyne obfuscations should not be employed to describe processes that are brutal, even if not all lines of operations involve brutality.  The application of violence nevertheless should fall under the rule of law and the traditional norms of battlefield morality.  Practices that are abhorrent to the professional member of the military and are outlawed by statue and treaty, including torture, should be prohibited even if perceived by some to be efficacious.

13. Not once in FM 3–24 is the term “propaganda of the deed” used. A rewrite should build upon 3–120 and 6–78 to restore primacy to the notion of propaganda of the deed as an operational concept used by guerrillas to wage war.  This also will restore to the centrality of COIN the notion of “psychology” and compel practitioners to consider the social forces causing the revolt and the second– and third-order consequences of their actions seeking to solve or mitigate them.  This will require an expansion of B-23.

Captain ( P ) Crispin  Burke is an active duty aviator who commanded in Iraq.  Currently, he is the unmanned aviation observer controller at the Combined Maneuver Training Center at Hohenfels, Germany, and he blogs on national security affairs at Wings over Iraq.

Major James Michael Few is an active duty armor officer who served multiple tours to Iraq in various command and staff positions.  Currently, he serves as the editor for Small Wars Journal.

Carl Prine is a former enlisted Marine and Army infantryman who served in Iraq.  Currently, he serves as a reporter at the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review and blogs on national security affairs for Military​.com.

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This statement is being posted at Small Wars Journal and Wings Over Iraq, too.
http://​smallwarsjournal​.com/​b​l​o​g​/​2​0​1​1​/​0​7​/​e​v​o​l​v​ing…
http://​wingsoveriraq​.com/

Partially cross posted from Small Wars Journal.

Paragrpah 5 is one of the most important.

We have to take a holistic approach to warfighting and national security and while debate and intellectual jousting is good for us and helps of develop intellectually we do have to set aside some of the petty “we-they” “my COIN v. your CT” positions and look at getting the right balance and coherency among ends, ways, and means while understanding the threat, opportunities, and risks in every that we do for our national security. COIN, CT, Stability Operations, Maneuver Warfare. Irregular Warfare, Major Combat Operations, Small Wars, etc, etc, etc are all important and need to understood but we cannot make any single “way” the dominant part of strategy and strategic thinking.

Great post, Carl — and to Crispin and Mike. I put up a couple of thoughts at Ink Spots. http://​tachesdhuile​.blogspot​.com/​2​0​1​1​/​0​7​/​p​r​i​n​e​-bu…

Thank you Jason and COL Maxwell. I agree with both of your points and also those of “Gulliver” here:
http://​tachesdhuile​.blogspot​.com/​2​0​1​1​/​0​7​/​w​h​a​t​s​-wr…

I’m quite concerned that we’ve boxed ourselves into a foreign policy corner with assumptions about “COIN” and the supposed future of warfare.

How do you deal with a situation where cultural genocide conducted over generations is the only long-term solution? By “cultural genocide”, I don’t mean exterminating people, nor “creating a desert and calling it peace”, I mean extirpating traditional practices such as pogroms against jews, child sacrifice, widow-burning, slavery, and “master race” ideology? The kind of thing that was practiced with unacceptable barbarity (but effectiveness) against the Highland bandit raider culture after Culloden?

Zoebrain, I would suggest that is a question of “why should we bother?” In some of the far-reaching areas exclusive to modernity, it might be better to read Machiavelli and Hobbes rather than modern counterinsurgency doctrine.

Nice, thought provoking statement on reforming american coin doctrine.

Perhaps as a footnote to your statement should be the recommendation to whoever writes the revised doctrine to get over Vietnam and not write another doctrinal manual that attempts to refight that lost war with the stamp of Krepinevich, Nagl, and Sorley all over it. The paradoxes of the manual should be expunged to never return since they were the most apparent attempt to refight Vietnam with the perceived “lessons” of why we lost it.

Also with the change up in senior american army generals we may now finally have an opening back to creativity and intellectual rigor which has been sadly lacking within the Army’s intellectual climate and within the field force as well.

gian

Gian,

Would it be better to get over Vietnam or concentrate on first-person accounts: Bing West, David Hackworth, Robert Andrews, Kregg P. Jorgenson, and David Donovan (pseudonym)? That’s just from the counter-insurgent side, not to dismiss the insurgent accounts.

Gian, I want to bare you sons. I am yours forever!

Mike F: Of course I agree with Carl about the importance of the manual being historically informed. But when it comes to history St Carl (not Prine of Departure) still has it right when he says history should inform the commander but not accompany him to the battlefield. And the history of Vietnam should naturally inform the revised manual. But a jaded and wrongheaded understanding of it should not, and therein lies the problem of the current 3–24 in that it assumed that Krepinevich, Nagl, Cable, Lewey and the rest were right and that the war could have been won with better coin hearts and minds tactics. Unfortunately it was this wrongheaded history that actually accompanied the writers of 3–24 to the current battlefield of Iraq, if you see what i mean.

gian

I do and concur. When I read Krepinevich and Nagl, I took away the lessons of organizational design, learning, and reform to the institution NOT an approach to understanding the conflicts. Neither had any understanding towards those wars.

I was speaking more to the history of a specific people or place. I don’t believe that a study of the war in Vietnam would inform much about, say, the ongoing conflict in central Africa, although some parts of an accurate study of Southeast Asia’s wars of revolution might help someone understand the conflict in Nepal or the Naxalite rebellion in India.

Carl:

Right, that makes sense. But an understanding of histories of coin can do what your older brother St Carl said and inform, but without accompanying him to the battlefield.

Yet Mike F, Nagl’s model of organizational design and how he says armies learn in war is not supported by the primary record from either malaya or Vietnam. In both of those wars there was no tectonic shift in operational method combined with the arrival of the savior general. In each of these two wars you see a cascade of learning and adapting as the war progressed. The idea that the us army in vietnam did not learn and adapt is simply quite silly, unless you assume that there is only one correct end point for that learning and adapting to be (pop centric coin) which is the deep flaw in Nagl’s work.

gian

^ see above, what he said.

When it comes to COIN, even the gayer PC-COIN, Gian is Ron Jeremy and everyone else who considers themselves “experts” are just pimply Chinese-American high school math tutors.

The root problem of any of this is not our manual, it is the way the military is currently run and our poor leadership.

The Detriot Lions have played football in the NFL for a long time, but they still loose. They have the same access to players, coaches and playbooks. The Lions definitely play every season, but they are consistantly one of the worst teams in the NFL.

Our poor performance in the military is not due to needed changes in a manuals or lack of academic acumen. It IS due to incompetence and poor leadership, all the way from Washington to the battlefield.

The centralized promotion system insures that numerous incapable officers and NCOs are promoted to positions of higher authority for which they are not qualified. Battlefield tested knowlegable leaders are not promoted into positions of higher authority. As long as we allow people with little to no combat experience to micromanage the soldiers in the field, we will continue to preform poorly.

We cannot allow poor senior leadership to fail their wartime mission of winning our nations wars, get awards and come home with honor if we intend to win. The “leave no battalion commander without a CIB” mentality is causing us to loose. Our leadership doesn’t know how to fight and win not only because of their lack of combat experience, but because it doesn’t matter to them. The awards and OERs matter, so that is what gets taken care of.

When we start holding our commanders accountable for the actual performance of the Army and promoting people based on their actual ability and not their seniority in the promotion rank order, we will begin to be the great again. Until then, we will continue to be the worlds largest and most complex papertiger.

“The dichotomy between “counter-terrorism” and “counter-insurgency” is a false distinction designed to force political choices. ” Are we equating the two terms ? I am having a hard time visualizing the Unabomber as an insurgent.

James,

I think this distinction really applies very specifically to the GWOT. In a COIN campaign, such as the one being waged in AFG, special ops forces are conducting CT operations on a nightly basis. These CT ops fit into the larger COIN strategy by destroying the insurgencies leadership. CT vs. COIN is an argument between VP Biden and the Kagans. Any field commander knows that COIN must have a CT component because every insurgency is, by necessity, going to have a terrorist component.

Iliniranger:

but here is the problem as i see it in the way you cast coin and ct: CT it seems to me in your conception must always be subordinate to the broader goals of a pop centric coin campaign, yes?

I think what Carl, Mike F, and SB were saying is that Coin and CT must be treated as equivalants at the operational level of war. Then strategy will have choices when it comes to employing operational methods in countering insurgencies. This was the mistake the Exum and Kilcullen made in their 2009 oped in that CT is only a tactic that is subordinate to the higher operational goals of pop centric coin.

thanks
gian

Put this on the first blank page, rather than “This page intentionally left blank” —

“No battle ever repeats itself. The success of a commander does not arise from following rules or models. It consists in an absolutely new comprehension of the dominant facts of the situation at the time, and all the forces at work. Cooks use recipes for dishes and doctors have prescriptions for diseases, but every great operation of war is unique.”

Churchill, from his biography of his ancestor, the First Duke of Marlborough.

“But good people, my friends, you don’t get it, and you never got it! There is no method, there is no cliche of Gallieni; there are ten, twenty — or, if there is a method, its name is suppleness, elasticity, adaptability to place, time and circumstances.”

Lyautey

I’ve always wondered how many of those battalion commanders actually deserved the CIB.

FYI– This means that you and Starbuck are both wrong.

Arguing about how the manual needs to be re-written is like a NASCAR owner arguing that the paint job on his car is the reason his car is loosing. Changing the paintjob won’t make the car faster. Changing the manual will not make our leadership competent.

I agree with some of the posts and others I disagree with, hence the debate when it comes to COIN. I’m a SrNCO in the Army who has taught many classes on COIN as an O/C in Germany and now back in a Cavalry Squadron. I even had a chance to spend 2 months embeded with the CAAT in Afghanistan last year specifically looking at COIN TTPs at the Troop and Platoon level in order to enhance the training we conducted in Hohenfels. I say all this to attempt to illustrate I’m no expert when it comes to COIN, but I’m no dummy either. My point is, as you and other “COIN smart” people both in and outside the Military debate theory and wording, young Platoon and Squad Leaders are out executing.

(Continue of my last post) My issues with the current 3–24 is that there is no “So What” for these young leaders. I heard a “Coin Smart” officer say in a class once, “The Enemy dosn’t matter”. I argued that to a young SSG in contact, the enemy does matter. I understand the overall stratedgy, but what does that mean to a PL who just lost one of his Troops to PPIED while non-aggressively patroling a village. I ask that as you discuss changes, remember that if there is nothing that applies to a SSG leading a patrol, then most of your work is worthless. I met many BDE and BN COs that could preach COIN like a Baptist Minister, but that meant nothing to a SSG as he lead his troops out the front gate. If a new 3–24 does not address the Squad, then it will become another usless manuel stacked on the shelve in a Troop CP.

SFC B

SFC B,

Fully concur, and the “so-what” drove much of our thinking. Moreover, any fool that states “the enemy doesn’t matter” is just a fool.

Mike

Just another note, here is another quirk I’ve noticed. Those commanders who disagree with the parts of 3–24, just don’t do them that way and execute how they believe things should be done. Now, I don’t argue, that is a Commanders perogative, but what does it say about the overall subject. I went to the DSF course after attending the CTC-A in KAbul. I went back a taught what I learned to my fellow O/Cs. Now back in the line, much of what I learned in those course is not followed. Not becasue of anything bad, I’ve had great conversations with my Commander, but he just disagrees with much of it and has his way he wants to do it. He’s my CO so I’m obviously going to back his play, but what does that say about what is being published and taught to the masses. As Sr. Leaders debate theory and practice, young leaders and executing. We as an organization owe them clear guidance on what to do and how to do it. I know things are differnt based on each situation and each AO, but I just believe that an organization with over 200 years of experience can do much better then publishing new EOF proceadures every 6 months.

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